Burnley vs Derby County: Expert Betting Analysis
This upcoming match between Burnley and Derby County presents a fascinating betting landscape. Both teams have shown a tendency to keep their defenses tight, especially in the first half of matches, as evidenced by the high probabilities for “Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half” and “Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half”. The statistics suggest a cautious approach from both sides, making it likely that the game will be low-scoring. However, with an average total goal prediction of 3.45, there is an indication that goals may come later in the match, particularly in the second half. This scenario presents intriguing opportunities for bettors focusing on late goals and higher overall goals.
Burnley (w)
Derby County (w)
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 97.70% | (2-0) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 97.80% | (2-0) | |
| Both Teams Not to Score | 76.00% | (2-0) | |
| Home Team To Score In 1st Half | 74.30% | (2-0) | |
| Home Team To Score In 2nd Half | 76.50% | (2-0) | |
| Home Team To Win | 72.50% | (2-0) | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72.30% | (2-0) | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 57.20% | (2-0) | |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58.50% | (2-0) | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 3.45% | (2-0) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 3.40% | (2-0) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 2.15% | (2-0) |
Betting Predictions and Insights
Both Teams Not To Score
The odds for “Both Teams Not To Score” stand at 76.00, reflecting the likelihood of a tight match where neither side finds the back of the net. This bet is supported by the high probabilities for both teams not scoring in each half.
Home Team Scoring
Burnley has a decent chance of scoring in either half, with odds of 74.30 for scoring in the first half and 76.50 for the second half. Their overall chance to win is at 72.50, suggesting they might edge out a victory if they manage to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Over Goals Bets
The “Over 1.5 Goals” bet stands at 72.30, indicating that while the match may start cautiously, it could see more than one goal being scored overall. For those looking for a higher goal tally, “Over 2.5 Goals” is priced at 58.50, suggesting a moderate expectation for a more open game.
Away Team Performance
Derby County’s likelihood of not scoring in the first half is relatively high at 57.20, which aligns with the trend of low-scoring halves. However, their defensive record allows for potential goals from Burnley.
Additional Predictions
- First Half Dynamics: Expect a cautious start with both teams focusing on defense.
- Second Half Opportunities: As fatigue sets in, there may be more openings leading to goals.
- Burnley’s Offensive Push: With better odds to score in both halves, Burnley might take advantage of any lapses in Derby’s defense.
- Potential Upset: Despite being underdogs, Derby could surprise with a strategic play or counter-attack.